Confidence interval in Kirsch equations
Rocks at depth are affected by stresses resulting from the weight of the overlying strata and tectonic stresses. When a tunnel is excavated in this rock, the stress field is locally disordered and radial, tangential and shear stresses are induced in the rock around the tunnel. Knowledge of the magnitudes and directions of these induced stresses is essential. Since the measuring of specific gravity and depth are inevitably affected by environmental noise, we consider a random version of P2 in Kirsch equations. By doing this, we define random version of the Kirsch equations. Then we introduce an algorithm to calculate confidence intervals for the Kirsch parameters. Finally we use Alborz tunnel characteristics for creating these confidence intervals as a case study. The results show that the proposed amounts of radial, tangential and shear stresses lie in desired range.
Keywords: Kirsch equations; Confidence interval; confidence level; Alborz tunnel; normal distribution.
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