Behavior of the epidemic due to the covid-19 virus in Mexico. Development of an algorithm
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2022-05-15 
https://doi.org/10.14419/ijbas.v11i1.32013
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Covid 19, epidemic, statistic applied, mathematical models, logistic function. -
Abstract
In the present paper, an algorithm was developed to represent the behavior of the current SARS-CoV-2 virus epidemic in Mexico, known as COVID-19, to obtain a likely scenario for the coming months and provoke a healthy discussion about the problem. The data reported by government entities is considered first by analyzing a simple model, via the construction of a polynomial, and then building an exponential type function, from the so-called logistic function. A numerical comparison is made with the officially provided data, and the graphs obtained from the solutions found are shown, including a brief explanation on how to interpret them appropriately. Finally, the possible scenario for the following months of the development of the epidemic in Mexico is discussed.
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How to Cite
A. Almaguer-Salinas, Y., Ladino-Luna, D., & T. Paez-Hernández, R. (2022). Behavior of the epidemic due to the covid-19 virus in Mexico. Development of an algorithm. International Journal of Basic and Applied Sciences, 11(1), 17-25. https://doi.org/10.14419/ijbas.v11i1.32013Received date: 2022-03-08
Accepted date: 2022-04-06
Published date: 2022-05-15