Predicting customer churn using targeted proactive retention

  • Authors

    • B Mishachandar VIT
    • Kakelli Anil Kumar VIT
    2018-08-02
    https://doi.org/10.14419/ijet.v7i2.27.10180
  • Big Data Analytics, Churn Prediction, Customer Churn, Machine Learning, Targeted Proactive Retention
  • Abstract

    With the advent of innovative technologies and fierce competition, the choices for customers to choose from have increased tremendously in number. Especially in the case of a telecommunication industry, where deregulation is at its peak. Every year a new company springs up offering fitter options for its customers. This has turned the concentration of the business doers on churn prediction and business management models to sustain their places. Businesses approach churn in two ways, one is through targeted customer retention and through cause identification strategy. The literature of this paper provides a comprehensible understanding of the so far employed techniques in predicting customer churn. From that, it is quite evident that less attention has been given to the accuracy and the intuitiveness of churn models developed. Therefore, a novel approach of combining the models of Machine Learning and Big Data Analytics tools was proposed to deal churn prediction effectively. The purpose of this proposed work is to apply a novel retention technique called the targeted proactive retention to predict customer churning behavior in advance and help in their retention. This proposed work will help telecom companies to comprehend the risk associated with customer churn by predicting the possibility and the time of occurrence.

     

     

  • References

    1. [1] Keramati A., Jafari-Marandi R., Aliannejadi M., Ahmadian I., Mozaffari M., Abbasi U. (2014), “Improved churn prediction in telecommunication industry using data mining techniques“,Applied Soft Computing Journal, 24 , pp. 994-1012.

      [2] Michael C. Mozer, Richard Wolniewicz, David B. Grimes, Eric Johnson, and Howard Kaushansky,†Predicting subscriber dissatisfaction and improving retention in the wireless telecommunications industryâ€. IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks, 11:690–696, 2000.

      [3] Adnan Amin, Sajid Anwar, Awais Adnan, Muhammad Nawaz, Khalid Alawfi, Amir Hussain and Kaizhu Huang, “Customer Churn Prediction in Telecommunication Sector using Rough Set Approachâ€,Neurocomputing,http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.neucom.2016.12.009

      [4] Etaiwi, W., Biltawi, M., Naymat, G,â€Evaluation of classification algorithms for banking customer’s behavior under apache spark data processing system†Procedia Comput. Sci. 113, 559–564 (2017)

      [5] A. A. Ahmed, and D. Maheswari, “Churn prediction on huge telecom data using hybrid firefly-based classification,†Egyptian Informatics Journal, 2017.

      [6] Harnie, D., Vapirev, A.E., Wegner, J.K., Gedich, A., Steijaert, M., Wuyts, R., & De Meuter, W. (2015),†Scaling machine learning for target prediction in drug discovery using apache spark†In Proceedings of the 15th IEEE/ACM International Symposium on Cluster Cloud and Grid Computing.

      [7] Junxiang Lu, “Predicting Customer Churn in the Telecommunicationsâ€.

      [8] Keramati A, Jafari-Marandi R, Aliannejadi M, Ahmadian I, Mozzafari M, Abbasi U (2014), “Improved churn prediction in telecommunication industry using data mining techniquesâ€, Appl Soft Comput 24:994–1012.

      [9] Xie Y, Li X, Ngai EWT, Ying W (2009), “Customer churn prediction using improved balanced random forests†Expert Syst Appl 36(3):5445–5449

      [10] Au, W., Chan, C., & Yao, X (2003), “A novel evolutionary data mining algorithm with applications to churn predictionâ€, IEEE Transactions on Evolutionary Computation, 7, 532–545. https://doi.org/10.1109/TEVC.2003.819264.

      [11] Boser, B., Guyon, I., & Vapnik V (1992), “A training algorithm for optimal margin classifiersâ€, In Proceedings the fifth annual ACM workshop on computational learning theory, (pp. 144–152).

      [12] Pittsburgh, PA: ACM Press. Bradley, A. P (1997), “The use of the area under the roc curve in the evaluation of machine learning algorithmsâ€, Pattern Recognition, 30, 1145–1159. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0031-3203(96)00142-2.

      [13] Burges, C. J. C (1998), “A tutorial on support vector machines for pattern recognitionâ€, Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery, 2(2), 121–167. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1009715923555.

      [14] Coussement, K., & den Poe, D. V (2008), “Churn prediction in subscription services: An application of support vector machines while comparing two parameter selection techniquesâ€, Expert Systems with Applications, 34, 313–327. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2006.09.038.

      [15] Domingos, P., & Pazzani, M. J (1997), “On the optimality of the simple bayesian classifier under zero-one lossâ€, Machine Learning, 29(2–3), 103–130. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1007413511361.

      [16] Hadden, J., Tiwari, A., Roy, R., & Ruta, D (2006), “Churn prediction: Does technology matterâ€, International Journal of Intelligent Technology, 1(2).

      [17] Henley(2009)., Hosmer, D., & Lemeshow, S (1989), “Applied logistic regression†, New York: Wiley.

      [18] Huang, B., Kechadi, M.-T., & Buckley, B (2010), “A new feature set with new window techniques for customer churn prediction in land-line telecommunicationâ€, Expert Systems with Applications, 37(5), 3657–3665. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2009.10.025.

      [19] Hung, S.-Y., Yen, D. C., & Wang, H.-Y (2006), “Applying data mining to telecom churn managementâ€, Expert Systems with Applications, 31, 515–524. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2005.09.080.

      [20] Japkowicz, N (2000), “Learning from imbalanced data sets: A comparison of various strategiesâ€, (pp. 10–15).

      [21] AAAI Press. Japkowicz, N (2006), “Why question machine learning evaluation methodsâ€, In AAAI Workshop.

      [22] Boston. John, H., Ashutosh, T., Rajkumar, R., Dymitr, R. (2007) “Computer assisted customer churn management: State-of-the-art and future trendsâ€

      [23] Jolliffe, I. T (1986), “Principal component analysisâ€,New York: Springer https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4757-1904-8.

      [24] L. Xi, Y. Wenjing, L. An, N. Haiying, H. Lixian, Q. Luo, and C. Yan, “Churn Analysis of Online Social Network Users Using Data Mining Techniquesâ€, Preced. Int. multi Conf. Eng. Comput. Sci., no. 1, pp. 14–16, 2012.

      [25] W. Verbeke, D. Martens, and B. Baesens, “Social network analysis for customer churn predictionâ€,Appl. Soft Comput., vol. 14, pp. 431–446, Jan. 2014. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2013.09.017.

      [26] D. Archambault, N. Hurley, and C. T. Tu (2013), “ChurnVis: Visualizing mobile telecommunications churn on a social network with attributes,†Adv. Soc. Networks Anal. Min (ASONAM), 2013 IEEE/ACM, pp. 894–901. https://doi.org/10.1145/2492517.2500274.

      [27] K. Dasgupta, R. Singh, B. Viswanathan, D. Chakraborty, S. Mukherjea, A. A. Nanavati, and A. Joshi (2008), “Social ties and their relevance to churn in mobile telecom networksâ€, in Proceedings of the 11th international conference on Extending database technology Advances in database technology - EDBT ’08, pp. 668–677. https://doi.org/10.1145/1353343.1353424.

      [28] J. David Nunez-Gonzalez, M. Grana, and B. Apolloni (2014), “Reputation features for trust prediction in social networksâ€, Neurocomputing, vol. 166, pp. 1–7. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neucom.2014.10.099.

      [29] U. Prasad Devi and S. Madhavi (2012), “Prediction Of Churn Behavior Of Bank Customersâ€, Bus. Intell. J., vol. 5, no. 1, pp. 96– 10.

      [30] K. Chitra and B. Subashini (2011), “Customer Retention in Banking Sector using Predictive Data Mining Techniqueâ€, ICIT 2011 5th Int. Conf. Inf. Technol.

  • Downloads

  • How to Cite

    Mishachandar, B., & Anil Kumar, K. (2018). Predicting customer churn using targeted proactive retention. International Journal of Engineering & Technology, 7(2.27), 69-76. https://doi.org/10.14419/ijet.v7i2.27.10180

    Received date: 2018-03-15

    Accepted date: 2018-05-10

    Published date: 2018-08-02