Decision Support System on Social Stability Governance Based on Scenario Approach

  • Authors

    • V L. Schultz
    • V V. Kulba
    • Z K. Avdeeva
    • A B. Shelkov
    • I V. Chernov
    2018-05-16
    https://doi.org/10.14419/ijet.v7i2.28.12934
  • Decision Support System, Social Stability Governance, Scenario Approach.

  • In modern conditions, it is necessary to organize effective information support for governance processes ensuring social stability on the basis of a comprehensive outpacing analysis of threats to regional security and sources of vulnerability of socio-economic systems, mechanisms to reduce uncertainty in the preparation and implementation of strategic and medium-term governance decisions, and improve their effectiveness in relation to the changing situations and in the external environment. The results presented in this paper are an evolution of the methodology of scenario analysis in the direction of developing formalized methods for analyzing and synthesizing alternative scenarios for the development of the situation in the social sphere and the means of supporting them.

     

     

  • References

    1. [1] Kulba V., Zaikin O., Shelkov A, and Chernov I. Scenario Analysis in the Management of Regional Security and Social Stability // New Frontiers in Information and production Systems. Intelligent Systems Reference Library. 2016. Vol. 98., doi : 10.1007/978-3-319-23338-3_12

      [2] Schultz V., Kulba V., Shelkov A. and Chernov I. Scenario analysis in the management of geopolitical information warfare / Ed. Member-corr. RAS V. Shultz. - M .: Nauka, 2015. (in Russian).

      [3] Schultz V., Kulba V., Shelkov A. and Chernov I. Information management in the context of globalization – Moscow: Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences of RAS, 2017 (in Russian).

      [4] Roberts, F. Discrete Mathematical Models, with Applications to Social, Biological, and Environmental Problems. Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey. 1976.

      [5] Models and methods of analysis and synthesis scenarios of socio-economic systems: in two books / Ed. V. Schulz and V. Kulba. - M .: Nauka, 2012 (in Russian).

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  • How to Cite

    L. Schultz, V., V. Kulba, V., K. Avdeeva, Z., B. Shelkov, A., & V. Chernov, I. (2018). Decision Support System on Social Stability Governance Based on Scenario Approach. International Journal of Engineering & Technology, 7(2.28), 240-242. https://doi.org/10.14419/ijet.v7i2.28.12934