Dynamic Simulation Model for Predicting the Value of Health Degradation that Caused by Air Pollution of the NO2 Gas

  • Authors

    • Sri Listyarini
    • . .
    https://doi.org/10.14419/ijet.v7i3.7.19034
  • air pollution, ambient concentration, dynamic simulation, nitrogen dioxide (NO2) gas, Respiratory Symptoms Disease (RSD)

  • Abstract

    In Jakarta the majority of energy comes from fossil fuel burning, which also emitting the NO2 gas as air pollution. NO2 gas that inhaled by humans will damage the respiratory system called Respiratory Symptomps Disease (RSD). This research aims to predict the value of health degradation which comes from NO2 gas air pollution by developing a dynamic simulation model. When the ambient concentration of NO2 gas exceeds the standard, some of Jakarta residents will get RSD. The value that has to be paid by Jakarta residents who will get this disease is predicted by the dynamic simulation model. The result of this research is that started the year 2018 there will be 973 Jakarta residents who have RSD from NO2 air pollution gas and will continue to increase until 109,263 in 2025. In 2025 the citizens of Jakarta which will be get RSD caused by NO2 gas as air pollution will have to pay approximately US $ 30.5 M, or about 12.5 percent of the GDRP.

  • References

    1. [1] BPPT, Outlook Energy Indonesia 2011, 2011. Accessed on 19 March 2016, from http://perpustakaan.bappenas.go.id/lontar/login.jsp?requester=file?file=digital_112479-[_Konten_]-Konten%20C7498-1.pdf

      [2] Ostro, B., Estimating the Health Effects of Air Pollutans: A Method with an Application to Jakarta, 1994. Accessed on 16 March 2016, from http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/355391468752348015/pdf/multi0page.pdf

      [3] Syahril S., Resosudarmo B.P., & Tomo H.S., Study on Air Quality in Jakarta, Indonesia: Future Trends, Health Impacts, Economic Value and Policy Options, 2002. Accessed on 5 September 2015, from http://docplayer.net/38459969-Study-on-air-quality-future-trends-health-impacts-economic-value-and-policy-options-jakarta-indonesia.html

      [4] Listyarini, S., Tarumingkeng, R.C., Fauzi, A., & Hutagaol, P., Estimasi Nilai Penurunan Kesehatan Akibat Polusi Gas NOx di Udara DKI Jakarta, Jurnal matematika, Sains, dan Teknologi, 2007. Vol. 8(2): p. 109-125.

      [5] Olsthoorn X, Amann M, Bartonova A, Clench-Aas J, Cofala J, Dorland K, Guerreiro C, Henriksen JF, Jansen H, and Larssen S., Cost benefit analysis of European air quality target for sulphur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide and dine and suspended particulate matter in cities, Environmental and Resource Economics, 1999. Vol. 14: p. 333-351.

      [6] Howells G., Acid Rain and Acid Waters 2nd ed., 1995. New York: Ellis Horwood Limited.

      [7] NEPC (The National Environment Protection Council), Environment Protection (National Pollutant Inventory) Policy 2008. 2008. Accessed on 27 February 2016, from https://www.legislation.sa.gov.au/LZ/C/POL/ENVIRONMENT%20PROTECTION%20(NATIONAL%20POLLUTANT%20INVENTORY)%20POLICY%202008/CURRENT/2008.-.UN.PDF

      [8] BPS DKI (Badan Pusat Statistik Propinsi DKI Jakarta), Jakarta in Figures 2016, 2016. Accessed on 19 March 2016, from https://jakarta.bps.go.id/backend/pdf_publikasi/Jakarta-Dalam-Angka-2016.pdf

      [9] BPS (Badan Pusat Statistik), Bappenas (Badan Perencanaan Pembangunan Nasional), UNFPA (United Nations Populations Fund), Indonesia Population Projection 2010-2035, 2013. Accessed on 27 February 2016, from http://www.bappenas.go.id/files/5413/9148/4109/Proyeksi_Penduduk_Indonesia_2010-2035.pdf

      [10] Minister of Finance of the Republic of Indonesia, Rates of Hospital Treatment in Jakarta 2014, 2014. Accessed on 7 March 2015, from http://www.sjdih.depkeu.go.id/fullText/2014/34~PMK.05~2014PerLamp.pdf

      [11] BPS (Badan Pusat Statistik), Selected Indicators Social-Economics of Indonesia: July 2006 Edition, 2006. Jakarta: Badan Pusat Statistik.

      [12] Camilleri, G., Air Pollution and Health: A Review, Research Journal of Biological Sciences, 2015. Vol.10(3): p. 15-24.

      [13] Stern D.I., The Rise and Fall of the Environmental Kuznets Curve, World Developmet, 2004. Vol.32 (8): p. 1419-1439.

      [14] Bartz S., & Kelly D.L., Economic Growth and the Environment: Theory and Facts, 2006. Accessed on 19 March 2016, from http://moya.bus.miami.edu/~dkelly/papers/kcal4_24_06.pdf

      [15] Susandi A., The Impact of International Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction on Indonesia. Hamburg: Reports on Earth System Science, 2004. Accessed on 5 September 2015, from https://www.mpimet.mpg.de/fileadmin/publikationen/erdsystem_04.pdf

      [16] Hung MF., & Shaw D., Economic Growth and the Environmental Kuznets Curve in Taiwan: A Simultaneity Model Analysis. 2005. Accessed on 19 March 2016, from http://www.engr.mun.ca/~bingchen/EN9629/Supplements/Supplement4_EKC%20case%20study.pdf

  • Downloads

  • How to Cite

    Listyarini, S., & ., . (2018). Dynamic Simulation Model for Predicting the Value of Health Degradation that Caused by Air Pollution of the NO2 Gas. International Journal of Engineering & Technology, 7(3.7), 497-499. https://doi.org/10.14419/ijet.v7i3.7.19034

    Received date: 2018-09-05

    Accepted date: 2018-09-05