Predicting Sudden Deaths Following Myocardial Infarction in Malaysia Using Machine Learning Classifiers

  • Authors

    • Muhammad Hazrani Abdul Halim
    • Yumn Suhaylah Yusoff
    • Mazlynda Md Yusuf
    2018-10-07
    https://doi.org/10.14419/ijet.v7i4.15.21360
  • Machine learning, Mortality prediction, Myocardial infarction, Sudden death.
  • Abstract

    Myocardial infarction (MI) is among the top causes of death in Malaysia. The mortality rate following MI was high, especially within the first 30 days after the onset. This paper study the ability of k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN) and Naïve Bayes algorithms to predict the 30-day mortality of MI patients, using. The dataset used for this study is provided by National Cardiovascular Disease Database (NCVD) which consist of 2840 MI patients from hospitals in Malaysia. The sudden death predictions made by the machine learning are based on the age, gender, year of onset, smoking habit, BMI, diabetes, hypertension and cholesterol level. The result suggests that kNN algorithm has better performance in predicting the sudden death compared to Naïve Bayes. The number of independent variables plays an important role in mortality prediction, and removing insignificant variables improve the performance.

     

  • References

    1. [1] Ahmad W A W and Sim K H. Annual Report of the NCVD-ACS Registry 2009 & 2010. National Cardiovascular Disease Database, 2013.

      [2] Mullainathan S and Spiess J. Machine Learning: An Applied Economic Approach. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2017, 31(2):87-106.

      [3] Weiss J C, Natarajan S N, Peissig P L, McCarty C A and Page D. Machine Learning for Personalized Medicine: Predicting Primary Myocardial Infarction from Electronic Health Records. Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence, 2012, 33(4):33-45.

      [4] Seenivasagam V and Chitra R. Myocardial Infarction Detection using Intelligent Algorithms. Neural Network World, 2016, 26(1):91-110.

      [5] Torra A M, Fernandez D R, Alonso O M, Paya O S, Mackenzie J C and Jaimes M C. Using Machine Learning Methods for Predicting Inhospital Mortality in Patients undergoing Open Repair of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm. Journal of Biomedical Informatics, 2016, 62:195-201.

      [6] Vomlel J, Kruzik H, Tuma P, Precek J and Hutyra M. Machine Learning Methods for Mortality Prediction in Patients with ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction. Proceedings of the WUPES, 2012, pp. 204-213.

      [7] Galiatsatos D, Anastassopoulos G, Drosos G, Ververidis A, Tilkeridis K and Kazakos K. Prediction of 30-day Mortality after a Hip Fracture Surgery using Neural and Bayesian Networks. Proceedings of the IFIP International Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications and Innovations, 2014, pp. 566-575.

      [8] Wallert J, Tomasoni M, Madison G and Held C. Predicting Two-year Survival versus non-Survival after First Myocardial Infarction using Machine Learning and Swedish National Register Data. BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 2017, 17(1):99.

      [9] Cooper G F, Aliferis C F, Ambrosino R, Aronis J, Buchanon B J, Caruana R, Fine M J, Glymour C, Gordon G, Hanusa B H, Janosky J E, Meek C, Mitchell T, Richardson T, and Spirtes P. An Evaluation of Machine-Learning Methods for Predicting Pneumonia Mortality. Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, 1997, 9(2):107-138.

      [10] Motwani M, Dey D, Berman D S, Germano G, Achenbach S, Al-Mallah M H, Andreini D, Budoff M J, Cademartiri F, Callister T Q, Chang H J, Chinnaiyan K, Chow B J W, Cury R C, Delago A, Gomez M, Gransar H, Hadamitzky M, Hausleiter J, Hindoyan N, Feuchtner G, Kaufmann P A, Kim Y J, Leipsic J, Lin F Y, Maffei E, Marques H, Pontone G, Raff G, Rubinshtein R, Shaw L J, Stehli J, Villines T C, Dunning A, Min J K and Slomka P J. Machine Learning for Prediction of All-Cause Mortality in Patients with Suspected Coronary Artery Disease: a 5-year Multicentre Prospective Registry Analysis. European Heart Journal, 2017, 38(7):500-507.

      [11] Makar M, Ghassemi M, Cutler D M and Obermeyer Z. Short-term Mortality Prediction for Elderly Patients using Medicare Claims Data. International Journal of Machine Learning and Computing, 2015, 5(3):192-197.

      [12] Helwan A, Ozsahim D U, Abiyev R and Bush J. One-year Survival Prediction of Myocardial Infarction. International Journal of Advance Computer Science and Applications, 2017, 8(6):173-178.

      [13] Wiemken T L, Furmanek S P, Mattingly W A, Guinn B E, Cavallazzi R, Botran R F, Wolf L A, English C L and Ramirez J A. Predicting 30-day Mortality in Hospitalized Patients with Community-Acquired Pneumonia using Statistical and Machine Learning Approaches. University of Louisville Journal of Respiratory Infections, 2017, 1(3):50-56.

      [14] Taylor R A, Pare J R, Venkatesh A K, Mowafi H, Melnick E R, Fleischman W and Hall M K. Prediction of In-Hospital Emergency Department Patients with Sepsis: A Local Big Data-Driven, Machine Learning Approach. Academic Emergency Medicine, 2016, 23(3):269-278.

      [15] Watcharapasorn P and Kurubanjerdjit N. The Surgical Patient Mortality Rate Prediction by Machine Learning Algorithms. Proceedings of the International Joint Conference on Computer Science and Software Engineering, 2016, pp. 1-5.

      [16] Provost F, Fawcett T and Kohavi R. The Case against Accuracy Estimation for Comparing Induction Algorithms. Proceedings of the Fifteenth International Conference on Machine Learning, 1998, pp. 445-453.

  • Downloads

  • How to Cite

    Hazrani Abdul Halim, M., Suhaylah Yusoff, Y., & Md Yusuf, M. (2018). Predicting Sudden Deaths Following Myocardial Infarction in Malaysia Using Machine Learning Classifiers. International Journal of Engineering & Technology, 7(4.15), 4-6. https://doi.org/10.14419/ijet.v7i4.15.21360

    Received date: 2018-10-09

    Accepted date: 2018-10-09

    Published date: 2018-10-07