Evaluation and Projection of Interdependence Between the Social and Economic Situation in the Region and the Structure and Dynamics of Labor Migration

  • Authors

    • I. V. Guskova
    • N. E. Serebrovskaya
    • A. O. Grudzinskii
    • O. V. Petrova
    2018-12-03
    https://doi.org/10.14419/ijet.v7i4.38.27657
  • Labor Migration, Migration Flows, Expert Survey, Regional Factors of Labor Migration, Socio-Economic Indicators, Economic and Mathematical Modeling.

  • Abstract

    The article analyzes the existing approaches to assessing the impact of labor migration on the state and functioning of the labor market. The authors developed a methodology for assessing the dependence of the scale of labor migration on the social and economic factors of the region, such as the level of economic development, the level of accessibility of medical and social services, the level of material well-being, and the level of spiritual development. These factors are determined by the statistical indicators for the Volga Federal District (VFD) and ranked by an expert survey. This methodology allows predicting the extent and direction of migration flows based on the data of a specific region.

     

     

  • References

    1. [1] T.I. Zaslavskaya, Migratsiya selskogo naseleniya [Rural-Urban Migration], Mysl, Moscow 1970.

      [2] I.V. Ivakhnyuk, Mezhdunarodnaya trudovaya migratsiya [International Labor Migration], Economics Faculty of Moscow State University, TEIS, Moscow, 2005, 14-16.

      [3] S.G. Strumilin, Trudovye poteri Rossii v voine[Russian Labor Costs of War], Narodnoye khozyaistvo 18 (1920) 104-106.

      [4] Federal State Statistics Service of the Russian Federation. Demograficheskii ezhegodnik Rossii [The Demographic Yearbook of Russia]. www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat_main/rosstat/ru/statistics/publications/catalog/doc_1137674209312

      [5] O.D. Vorobeva, (Ed.) Migratsiya naseleniya. Vyp. 1: Teoriya i praktika issledovaniya [Population Migration. Issue 1: Theory and Practice of Research], Minfederacii Rossii, Moscow, 2002.

      [6] Federal State Statistics Service of the Russian Federation. Chislennost i migratsiya naseleniya Rossiiskoi Federatsii. Statisticheskii byulleten Federalnoi sluzhby gosudarstvennoi statistiki [Population and Migration in the Russian Federation. Statistical Bulletin of the Federal Service for State Statistics]. www.gks.ru/bgd/regl/B13_16/Main.htm

      [7] V.A. Iontsev, Mezhdunarodnaya migratsiya naseleniya: teoriya i istoriya izucheniya [International Population Migration: Theory and History of Studies], Dialog MGU, Moscow, 1999.

      [8] S.V. Chepel, K.A. Bondarenko, Yavlyaetsya li vneshnyaya trudovaya migratsiya faktorom ekonomicheskogo rosta. Ekonometricheskii analiz i vyvody dlya stran SNG [Is the External Labor Migration a Factor of Economic Growth? Econometric Analysis and Conclusions for the CIS Countries], Zhurnal Novoi Ekonomicheskoi Assotsiatsii 4(28) (2015) 142-166.

      [9] Kontseptsiya gosudarstvennoi migratsionnoi politiki Rossiiskoi Federatsii na period do 2025 goda [The Concept of the State Migration Policy of the Russian Federation for the Period up to 2025]. Approved by the President of the Russian Federation . http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/15635

      [10] T.F. Efremova, Tolkovyi slovar [Explanatory Dictionary]. www.efremova.info Revised 2000, Accessed August 8, 2018.

      [11] Federal State Statistics Service of the Russian Federation. Regiony Rossii. Sotsialno-ekonomicheskie pokazateli: stat. sb. [Regions of Russia. Socio-Economic Indicators. Stat. Comp.]. www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat_main/rosstat/ru/statistics/publications/catalog/doc_1138623506156

      [12] Federal State Statistics Service of the Russian Federation. Trud i zanyatost v Rossii [Labor and Employment in Russia]. Moscow: Rosstat. www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat_main/rosstat/ru/statistics/publications/catalog/doc_1139916801766

      [13] A.I. Kravchenko, I.N. Titarenko (Eds.), Aktualnye voprosy sovremennogo obshchestva [Topical issues of modern society], Tsentr nauchnogo znaniya “Logosâ€, Stavropol, 2016.

      [14] V.F. Potudanskaya, G.N. Boyarkin, Yu.S. Yusova, Trudovaya migratsiya kak faktor transformatsii regionalnogo rynka truda [Labor Migration as a Factor of Regional Labor Market Transformation], OmGTU, Omsk, 2004, 31-31.

      [15] A.S. Akhiezer, Dialektika urbanizatsii i migratsii v Rossii [Dialectics of Urbanization and Migration in Russia], Obschestvennye nauki 1 (2000) 78-89.

      [16] I.V. Guskova, N.E.Serebrovskaya, M.A. Lavrenteva, Rynok truda i migratsionnye protsessy v Nizhegorodskoi oblasti [Labor market and migration processes in the Nizhny Novgorod Region], Trud i sotsialnye otnosheniya 10 (2012) 15-23.

      [17] I.V. Guskova, M.A. Lavrenteva, Migratsionnaya privlekatelnost Privolzhskogo federalnogo okruga [Migration attractiveness of the Volga Federal District], Regionalnaya ekonomika, 5(332) (2014) 20-26.

      [18] I.V. Guskova, E.V. Serova, Rynok truda Rossii v usloviyakh postkrizisnogo razvitiya [Russian Labor Market in the Post-Crisis Development], Research Journal of International Studies, 12(19) (2013) 86-87.

      [19] A.P. Egorshin, A.K. Zaitsev, Kachestvo zhizni naseleniya regiona: Monografiya [Quality of Life of the Population of the Region: The Monograph], NIMB, Nizhny Novgorod, 2002.

      [20] U. Izard, Metody regionalnogo analiza: vvedenie v nauku o regionakh [Methods of Regional Analysis: Introduction to the Science of Regions], Progress, Moscow, 1966.

      [21] I.V. Guskova, M.A. Lavrenteva, O.A. Sheshenina, Modelirovanie chislennosti immigrantov v Rossiiskoi Federatsii v zavisimosti ot sostoyaniya rynka truda [Estimation of immigration rate in the Russian Federation depending on the state of the labor market], Sovremennaya ekonomika: problemy i resheniya, 1(37) (2013) 180-193.

      [22] N.Sh. Kremer, (Ed.), B.A. Putko Ekonometrika: Uchebnik dlya vuzov [Econometrics: Textbook for Universities], YuNITI-DANA, Moscow, 2006.

  • Downloads

  • How to Cite

    V. Guskova, I., E. Serebrovskaya, N., O. Grudzinskii, A., & V. Petrova, O. (2018). Evaluation and Projection of Interdependence Between the Social and Economic Situation in the Region and the Structure and Dynamics of Labor Migration. International Journal of Engineering & Technology, 7(4.38), 1132-1136. https://doi.org/10.14419/ijet.v7i4.38.27657

    Received date: 2019-02-20

    Accepted date: 2019-02-20

    Published date: 2018-12-03